
Engaging in CS2 case openings is akin to gambling – let’s be upfront about this. However, some cases offer superior potential returns compared to others. Here’s the 2026 analysis.
Note: Opening cases typically results in negative expected value. On average, players tend to lose money. If you’re after specific skins, acquiring them directly from our marketplace is usually a more economical option.
Nonetheless, here’s what you should be aware of if you decide to open cases.
While all cases have the same knife drop rate (~0.26%), they feature different types of knives:
Only specific cases yield gloves (with a ~0.26% drop rate):
👉 Budget Gloves Guide – Consider buying gloves directly instead!
| Raroza | Odds | Average Pulls Required |
|---|---|---|
| Azul (Mil-Spec) | 79.92% | 1 |
| Púrpura (Restringido) | 15.98% | 6 |
| Rosa (Clasificado) | 3.2% | 31 |
| Rojo (Covert) | 0.64% | 156 |
| Oro (Knife/Gloves) | 0.26% | 385 |
At approximately ~€2.50 per opening (case + key), you’d spend around ~€960 on average to obtain a knife. Most knives tend to be valued lower than that.
For the cost of 10 case openings (€25), you could purchase:
Gather 10 skins of the same rarity to create 1 skin of a higher rarity. This can turn out profitable with proper investigation.
Cajas can increase in value over time once they stop being dropped. Explore our investing guide.